From: Fodder crop re-allocation sustainability and risk efficiency
Risk | Affects | Distribution | Absolut/ percentage | Impacts | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Min | Most likely | Max | ||||
1st year Sale volume | Revenue | Normal | Absolut | 19 667 | Â | 21 072 |
Increase in sales ton | Revenue | Triangular | Percentage | 1Â % | 2Â % | 5Â % |
Sale Price/ton | Revenue | Triangular | Absolut | 90 | 95 | 100 |
Unit cost/ton | Cost | Triangular | Percentage | 65Â % | 68Â % | 70Â % |
Increase in sales price | Revenue | Triangular | Percentage | 1Â % | 3Â % | 5Â % |
Yield reduction | Revenue | Compound | Percentage | 2Â % | 5Â % | 7Â % |
Water reduction Probi. | Yield | Risksimtable | Absolut | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Water reduction/year | Yield | Binomial | Absolut | Â | 0.1 | Â |
Water recharge/year | Yield | Binomial | Absolut | Â | 0.2 | Â |
Discount rate | NPV | Â | Percentage | Â | 10Â % | Â |