Skip to main content

Table 3 Diagnostic tests for the residuals of the VAR model (1995 to 2005) and VAR-BEKK model (2006 to 2015)

From: An analysis of price and volatility transmission in butter, palm oil and crude oil markets

 

1995–2005 (monthly) VAR model

Statistic

EU butter

Oceania butter

Crude palm oil

Crude oil Brent

Ljung-Box test

7.77***

4.69***

14.36***

8.67***

Ljung-Box test squared returns

10.55***

6.53***

15.76***

16.76**

Engle test

7.87***

11.46***

13.84***

16.27**

 

Multivariate tests

Hosking test

   

146.29***

Hosking test squared returns

   

996.09***

Lagrange multiplier test

   

1107.5*

 

2006–2015 (biweekly) VAR-BEKK model

Statistic

EU butter

Oceania butter

Crude palm oil

Crude oil Brent

Ljung-Box test

11.80***

16.49**

8.29***

5.80***

Ljung-Box test squared returns

5.49***

13.95***

10.51***

10.03***

Engle test

5.03***

12.34***

10.20***

9.54***

 

Multivariate tests

Hosking test

   

171.93***

Hosking test squared returns

   

1039.2***

Lagrange multiplier test

   

1030.7***

  1. The symbols *, ** and *** denote acceptance of the null hypothesis at the 1, 5 and 10 % confidence level, respectively, for the residual diagnostic tests. The residual diagnostic tests were performed with 10 lags