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Table 3 Questionnaire items of uncertainty factors

From: The impact of environmental uncertainty on the performance of the rice supply chain in the Ayeyarwaddy Region, Myanmar

Uncertainty factors

Concept

Aspects of measurement

Code

Questions to the actors

References

Supply

Supply uncertainty is related to the unpredictability of the delivery of raw or packed materials in time, in the right amount or according to the right specifications. In this study, paddy is supplied from farmers to rice millers, and milled rice from millers to distributors and so on.

Quantity

SU1

Rice quantity from rice producers is unpredictable.

van der Vorst 2000; Li 2002; Paulraj and Chen 2007; Thongrattana and Jie 2009

Quality

SU2

Rice quality from rice producers is unpredictable.

Time

SU3

Rice producers’ delivery time is unpredictable.

Demand

Demand uncertainty is related to uncertainty about customers’ requirements as a combination of unpredictability of demand and product variety (van der Vorst 2000). Both the international and domestic demand are considered.

Quantity

DU1

The volume of customer demand is difficult to predict.

Li 2002; Paulraj and Chen 2007; Thongrattana and Jie 2009

Quality

DU2

Customers’ rice preference changes over the year.

Time

DU3

The lead time of customer order is unpredictable.

Process

Process uncertainty is related to the production system, including the uncertain ability to produce adequately a particular product or the uncertain availability of sufficient raw materials (van der Vorst 2000). In this study, the processor refers to any procedure carried out by supply chain members, such as producing, milling, quality control, and packing process.

Quantity

PU1

Yield of production or processing (e.g., producing, milling, packing) can vary.

van der Vorst 2000; Thongrattana and Jie 2009

Quality

PU2

The quality of rice after processing (e.g., milled, stored) can change.

Time

PU3

The throughput time of rice processing can vary.

Planning and control

Planning and control uncertainty relates to incomplete information about production, inventory and customer demand (van der Vorst 2000).

Quantity

PCU1

Information about stock level of rice and rice production capacity is inaccurate.

van der Vorst 2000; Thongrattana and Jie 2009

Time

PCU2

Information about stock level of rice and rice production capacity is not on time .

PCU3

Information concerning changes to customer orders cannot be distributed on time.

Competitor

Competitor uncertainty refers to unpredictable actions by competitors in the competitive markets. This is related to reducing their product price, the time to market or the increasing product quality and variety (Li 2002). Uncertainty about competitors’ actions in the Myanmar rice industry is considered in both domestic and international markets.

Action

CU1

Competitors’ actions are unpredictable.

Li 2002; Thongrattana and Jie 2009

Domestic market

CU2

Competition in the domestic market is intensifying.

International market

CU3

Competition is intensified in different countries.

Government policy

Government policy uncertainty includes the unpredictable set of laws, regulations, administrative procedures, and policies formally sanctioned by the government, which can affect an organizations’ profitability (Badri et al. 2000).

Rice production

GU1

Government policies in rice trading (e.g., FTA, tax) directly affecting your firm are unpredictable

Javidan 1984; Badri et al. 2000; Bran and Bos 2005; Thongrattana and Jie 2009

Rice trading

GU2

The grantee price from government regulation is unpredictable.

New government

GU3

New government regulations are introduced unexpectedly.

Climate

Climate uncertainty is referred to the unpredictable occurrence of serious weather events affecting agricultural lands. These phenomena can lead to rice supply shocks, delays in the time of arrival of paddy to market or transportation disruptions (Curz et al. 2007).

Drought

CLU1

Drought occurrences affecting firms are unpredictable over the year.

Curz et al. 2007; Thongrattana and Jie 2009

CLU2

The duration of drought is unpredictable over the year.

Flooding

CLU3

Flooding occurrences affecting firms are unpredictable over the year.

CLU4

The duration of flooding is unpredictable over the year.

  1. Source: Own compilation based on Thongrattana and Jie (2009)