Heterogeneous seed access and information exposure: implications for the adoption of drought-tolerant maize varieties in Uganda

Agricultural and Food Economics

Table 4 Predicted DTMVs adoption rates

	Parameter with awareness unconstrained			Parameter with awareness–access–unconstrained			Parameter with awareness–access–affordability–unconstrained
	Est	S.E	Z	Est	S.E	Z	Est	S.E	Z
ATE-corrected population estimates
Predicted adoption rate in full population (ATE)	0.219*	0.018	12.42	0.295*	0.025	11.69	0.466*	0.038	12.22
Predicted adoption rate in treated subpopulation (ATT)	0.241*	0.017	13.82	0.342*	0.023	14.8	0.542*	0.031	17.63
Predicted adoption rate in untreated subpopulation (ATU)	0.190*	0.022	8.69	0.263*	0.030	8.77	0.440*	0.043	10.21
Joint treatment and adoption rate (JTA)	0.138*	0.010	13.80	0.138*	0.009	14.8	0.137*	0.008	17.63
Population adoption gap (GAP)	− 0.081*	0.009	− 8.69	− 0.16*	0.018	− 8.7	− 0.329*	0.032	− 10.21
Population selection bias(PSB)	0.022*	0.007	3.11	0.047*	0.013	3.59	0.077*	0.023	3.41
Observed sample estimates
Rate of treated (N_e/N)	0.574*	0.017	33.86	0.404*	0.017	24.12	0.253*	0.015	17.07
Adoption rate (N_a/N)	0.138*	0.012	11.70	0.138*	0.012	11.69	0.139*	0.012	11.8
Adoption rate among the treated subsample	0.241*	0.021	11.70	0.340*	0.029	11.69	0.550*	0.047	11.8