Table 7 Average marginal effects of logistic regressions.
From: Structural change in the dairy sector: exit from farming and farm type change
Variables | Exit | Farm type change to suckler cow |
|---|---|---|
Number of family workers: 0 (1 is base category) | − 0.0102 (0.0065) | 0.0003 (0.0041) |
 2 | − 0.0055*** (0.0007) | − 0.0003 (0.0004) |
 3 | − 0.0106*** (0.0008) | − 0.0005 (0.0004) |
 4 | − 0.0120*** (0.0009) | − 0.0008** (0.0004) |
 5 | − 0.0143*** (0.0012) | − 0.0011** (0.0005) |
 > 5 | − 0.0137*** (0.0013) | − 0.0010* (0.0006) |
Employees (binary) | 0.0054*** (0.0008) | 0.0003 (0.0003) |
Apprentices (binary) | − 0.0003 (0.0018) | − 0.0015*** (0.0004) |
Age of the farmer (years)° | 0.0019*** (0.0000) | − 0.0001*** (0.0000) |
Number of dairy cows° | − 0.0003*** (0.0000) | − 0.0000 (0.0000) |
Stocking rate° | − 0.0002 (0.0004) | − 0.0034*** (0.0003) |
Organic farm (binary)°° | − 0.0025*** (0.0008) | 0.0013*** (0.0003) |
Animal welfare housing system (BTS, binary)°° | − 0.0030*** (0.0007) | 0.0019*** (0.0003) |
Regularly keeping animals outdoor (RAUS, binary)°° | − 0.0014*** (0.0005) | 0.0011*** (0.0003) |
Herfindahl–Hirschman index | 0.0172*** (0.0021) | 0.0001 (0.0009) |
Direct payments in 1000 CHF° | − 0.0005*** (0.0000) | − 0.0000*** (0.0000) |
Ratio of direct payments/standard output (SO) | 0.0068*** (0.0015) | − 0.0043*** (0.0008) |
Milk price index (2015 = 100) | 0.0000 (0.0001) | 0.0001*** (0.0000) |
Gruyère (PDO region) | 0.0034*** (0.0011) | 0.0006 (0.0005) |
Raclette (PDO region) | 0.0055*** (0.0013) | − 0.0023*** (0.0007) |
Comparison salary in 2nd and 3rd sector in 1000 CHF | 0.0009*** (0.0003) | 0.0007*** (0.0002) |
Unemployment rate | − 0.3039*** (0.0569) | − 0.0260 (0.0250) |
Region (Valley region is base category) | ||
 Hill region | 0.0039** (0.0016) | 0.0035*** (0.0008) |
 Mountain region | 0.0096*** (0.0036) | 0.0097** (0.0039) |
Agricultural policy periods (base period 2000–2001) | ||
 2002–2006 | − 0.0026 (0.0016) | − 0.0018 (0.0013) |
 2007–2008 | − 0.0039* (0.0020) | − 0.0031* (0.0016) |
 2009–2013 | − 0.0014 (0.0026) | − 0.0042** (0.0018) |
 2014–2018 | − 0.0062*** (0.0029) | − 0.0040** (0.0020) |
Number of observations | 441,281 | 440,995 |
Number of farms | 29,754 | 29,733 |
Wald test statistic | 9814.78 (df = 65) | 1037.97 (df = 60) |
Canton dummies | YES | YES |
Production type dummies | YES | NO |
Not included Cantons°°° |  | GE, SH |