Table 8 Hypotheses on the direction of action of explanatory variables and the final results of the farm exit and farm type change models.
From: Structural change in the dairy sector: exit from farming and farm type change
Variable | Hypotheses | Model results | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Exit | Change | Exit | Change | |
Number of family workers | − | − | − | − |
Age | + | −/+ | + | − |
Herd size (number of dairy cows) | − | − | − | 0 |
Intensity of production (stocking rate) | −/+ | − | 0 | − |
Organic production | − | − | − | + |
Animal welfare housing system | − | − | − | + |
Animal welfare: outdoor keeping | − |  | − | + |
Specialisation (Herfindahl–Hirschman index) | −/+ | −/+ | + | 0 |
Direct payments total | − | − | − | − |
Dependency from direct payments (share of DP in farm's standard output) | + | + | + | − |
Milk price | − | − | 0 | + |
PDO cheese region with above average milk prices | − | − | + | − |
Comparison salary | + | + | + | + |
Unemployment rate | − | − | − | ns |
Difficulty of farm production | + | + | + | + |