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Agricultural and Food Economics

Table 5 Difference of FSCI variation and its contribution degree under the scenario with or without “Russia–Ukraine conflict”

From: Predicting the differences in food security with and without the Russia–Ukraine conflict scenarios over different regions of the world

Scenario

Asia

EU

LAC

SSA

Global

Without the R–U conflict

0.38830

0.66971

0.52465

0.30712

0.48248

With the R–U conflict

0.38829

0.65989

0.52480

0.30801

0.48225

Difference (∆Y)

− 0.00002

− 0.00982

0.00014

0.00089

− 0.00023

Ratio (∆Y/S2)

0.00%

1.49%

0.03%

0.29%

0.05%

  1. The difference represents the impact caused by the Russia–Ukraine conflict, denoted as ∆Y = S2–S1, referred to as the yield impact of Russia–Ukraine conflict. ∆Y/S2 is referred to as the contribution of the Russia–Ukraine conflict impact to changes in food security
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