Table 2 European-level scenarios for 2030.
From: What future for organic farming? Foresight for a smallholder Mediterranean agricultural system
Driver | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Global socioeconomic conditions | Unfavourable (crisis) | Favourable (growth) | Favourable (growth) | Unfavourable (crisis) |
Public expenditure and regulations | High expenditure and strong regulations | Low expenditure and weak regulations | High expenditure and strong regulations | Low expenditure and weak regulations |
Difference of prices conventional versus organic | Has dropped | Has increased | Has dropped | Has increased |