Table 3 Responses to the Delphi Likert-scale questions.
From: What future for organic farming? Foresight for a smallholder Mediterranean agricultural system
Questions | Round 1 | Round 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Median | Mean | SD | Median | Mean | SD | |
Q1. How important will the following limitations be for the expansion of organic food in the VR by 2030? (1 = Not important at all; 5 = Critically important) | ||||||
Lack of marketing channels | 3.5 | 3.50 | 1.03 | 4 | 3.6 | 1.03 |
Difference in conventional versus organic food prices | 3 | 3.25 | 1.00 | 3 | 3.2 | 0.98 |
Lack of young farmers | 4 | 4.13 | 0.62 | 4 | 4.3 | 0.60 |
Lack of experience and knowledge in marketing of organic operators | 3 | 3.06 | 1.00 | 3 | 3.3 | 0.86 |
Little cooperation and communication among actors in the organic chain | 3 | 3.13 | 0.81 | 3 | 3.3 | 0.77 |
Insufficient premium price | 3.5 | 3.38 | 0.96 | 4 | 3.6 | 0.73 |
Low level of public support to organic farmers | 3 | 2.93 | 0.96 | 3 | 3.1 | 0.81 |
Competition from alternative quality and environmental schemes | 2 | 2.00 | 0.73 | 2 | 1.9 | 0.57 |
Lack of information about organic products by consumers | 3.5 | 3.50 | 1.15 | 3 | 3.3 | 1.14 |
Insufficient consumers’ awareness to buy organic products | 4 | 3.63 | 1.20 | 4 | 3.9 | 0.96 |
Lack of purchasing capacity of national consumers to buy organic products | 4 | 3.56 | 0.81 | 4 | 3.5 | 0.73 |
Lack of credibility of the organic certification in the eyes of consumers | 3 | 3.25 | 1.44 | 3 | 3.4 | 1.15 |
Lack of availability of inputs necessary for organic production | 3 | 3.00 | 1.32 | 3 | 3.2 | 1.22 |
Limitations due to pests and diseases difficult to treat within the organic regime | 3 | 3.13 | 1.09 | 3 | 3.1 | 1.09 |
Q2. As far as you know, the difference in prices of the organic food products versus conventional products in the VR, by 2030… (1 = Will decrease a lot; 5 = Will increase a lot) | 2 | 2.25 | 0.68 | 2 | 2.3 | 0.68 |
Q3. How much do you think the sales of organic food will expand or contract by 2030 in each of the following marketing channels? (1 = There will be much less sales than now; 5 = There will be much more sales than now) | ||||||
Exporters | 3 | 3.50 | 1.15 | 3 | 3.4 | 1.09 |
Supermarkets | 4 | 3.94 | 0.68 | 4 | 4 | 0.52 |
Small shops | 3 | 3.31 | 0.79 | 3 | 3.3 | 0.77 |
Public procurement in the VR | 4 | 4.38 | 0.62 | 4 | 4.3 | 0.58 |
Hotels, restaurants and catering | 4 | 3.69 | 0.60 | 4 | 3.8 | 0.58 |
Direct sales by producers in local markets or on the farm | 4 | 3.81 | 0.83 | 4 | 3.8 | 0.68 |
Internet | 4.5 | 4.31 | 0.79 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.64 |
Q4. How do you think the value of the imports of organic food will evolve in the VR by 2030? (1 = Will decrease a lot; 5 = Will increase a lot) | ||||||
Fresh vegetables | 3 | 2.81 | 1.05 | 3 | 2.9 | 0.81 |
Processed products | 4 | 3.50 | 0.97 | 4 | 3.6 | 0.89 |