Table 4 Responses to the Delphi quantitative questions.
From: What future for organic farming? Foresight for a smallholder Mediterranean agricultural system
Questions | Round 1 | Round 2 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Median | Mean | SD | Median | Mean | SD | |
Q5. By what percentage do you think the number of organic farmers will increase (or decrease) by 2030? (Note: Between 2019 and 2010 the number of organic producers increased by 9%) | 11 | 33.13 | 51.23 | 12 | 32.3 | 34.58 |
Q6. By what percentage do you think the value of total sales (national plus exports) of organic food from the VR will increase (or decrease) by 2030? | 30 | 60.78 | 81.40 | 30 | 62.3 | 80.25 |
Q7. By what percentage do you think the total consumption of organic food (domestic or imported) by consumers in the VR will increase (or decrease) by 2030? | 27.5 | 34.84 | 28.35 | 29 | 32 | 18.27 |
Q8. By what percentage do you think the value of total exports to other countries of organic food from the VR will increase (or decrease) by 2030? | 30 | 41.25 | 46.57 | 30 | 34.7 | 24.36 |
Q9. Considering the hectares of organic agricultural area of the VR in 2016 and 20191, what certified area do you think there will be in 2030? | ||||||
Crops on arable land | 10,000 | 10,693.3 | 3885.41 | 10,000 | 15,062.5 | 17,551.71 |
Permanent pasture | 85,000 | 98,253.3 | 30,914.49 | 80,000 | 91,250 | 21,870.83 |
Permanent crops | 87,500 | 92,000 | 24,932.05 | 100,000 | 139,062.5 | 190,824.69 |