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Table 7 Estimated long-run coefficients for price transmission of soymeal to pig feed

From: The distortion in the EU feed market due to import constraints on genetically modified soy

Dep. Var. (\(\Delta {y}_{t}\))

\(\Delta {\mathit{ln}Feed\left(pig\right)}_{t}\)

Sweden.Ref

Sweden.Alt

Austria.Ref

Austria.Alt

\({\mathit{ln}SoyNonGM}_{t-1}^{+}\)

0.251**

(0.098)

0.214*

(0.124)

0.072

(0.062)

0.125

(0.083)

\({\mathit{ln}SoyNonGM}_{t-1}^{-}\)

0.542***

(0.174)

0.560*

(0.331)

0.315***

(0.089)

0.378***

(0.111)

\(ln{Wheat}_{t-1}\)

− 0.278

(0.211)

− 0.227

(0.203)

0.259***

(0.091)

0.237***

(0.084)

\(ln{Barl}_{t-1}\)

0.161***

(0.086)

0.267**

(0.105)

0.200**

(0.099)

0.247***

(0.083)

\(ln{Maiz}_{t-1}\)

0.224***

(0.081)

0.181***

(0.062)

\({SD}_{1}\)

− 0.068*

(0.038)

− 0.065*

(0.037)

− 0.046*

(0.025)

− 0.021

(0.020)

\({SD}_{2}\)

− 0.024

(0.036)

− 0.028

(0.035)

0.088***

(0.032)

0.078***

(0.021)

\(DU\)

0.168**

(0.075)

0.191**

(0.086)

0.055

(0.036)

0.042

(0.032)

\(DB\)

0.004**

(0.002)

0.004**

(0.002)

0.005***

(0.001)

0.005***

(0.001)

\({\mathit{ln}SoyGM}_{t-1}\)

0.071*

(0.039)

0.014

(0.083)

Constant

0.973***

(0.185)

0.916***

(0.241)

0.818***

(0.162)

0.994***

(0.195)

R-square

0.52

0.52

0.686

0.6844

Adj. R-square

0.46

0.45

0.639

0.6384

DW stat

1.96

1.99

2.04

2.02

Bound test#

6.63***

5.91***

8.92***

12.42***

Ramsey test

0.38

0.31

2.20

1.94

Wald test (short-run)

0.90

0.70

10.11***

12.02***

Wald test (long-run)

6.41**

7.16***

10.76***

13.46***

CUSUM (CUSUMQ)

S (S)

S (N)

S (N)

S (N)

  1. Note: This table presents the estimated outcomes of the model in Eq. (6). The suffix ‘Ref’ and ‘Alt’ in the model name indicates ‘Reference’ and ‘Alternative’, respectively. The model ‘Sweden.Alt’ uses the Austrian price premium to generate prices for GM soymeal. Values in brackets are standard error. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1. #p-values are approximated based on critical values in Kripfganz & Schneider (2019). Source: authors’ calculations